Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | CBU -215 TAR +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CBU +4 | 106 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -8.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.2 (-21.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -8.0 (-4.0) | 128.7 (-22.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -6.7 (-2.7) | 127.9 (-21.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -6.6 (-2.6) | 126.4 (-20.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -6.4 (-2.4) | 126.9 (-20.9) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | CBU 82 – 67 TAR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CBU 56 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TAR 81 – 76 CBU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CBU 68 – 48 TAR |
| Jan 17, 2025 | TAR 67 – 57 CBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 60.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 70.2 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#164) | -9.1 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#180) | -1.02 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#173) | -1.26 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#162) | 0.446 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CBU | TAR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.57 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 36.3% |
Game Analysis
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