Betting Lines
| Spread | CBU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Under |
| Money | TAR +145 CBU -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +10 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | CBU -5.9 (+15.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 40% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CBU -6.2 (+16.2) | 134.3 (-10.3) | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CBU -4.9 (+14.9) | 132.7 (-8.7) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CBU -4.8 (+14.8) | 131.5 (-7.5) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CBU -5.1 (+15.1) | 132.6 (-8.6) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | CBU 82 – 67 TAR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | CBU 56 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 3, 2026 | TAR 81 – 76 CBU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | CBU 55 – 51 TAR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CBU 68 – 48 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 10-3 | 11-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 60.2 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.0 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#320) | -0.2 (#166) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#264) | 0.03 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#287) | 0.01 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#249) | 0.500 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | CBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 28.3 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 27.0% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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