He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference · Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · January 3, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread HOW -8.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Under
Money SCST +310 / HOW -395
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCST win
Actual SCST +1 115 Won
Massey HOW -10.6 (+11.6)
Massey Totals 145.4 (-30.4)
Bradley-Terry 5%
Weighted B-T 2%
Efficiency Plus ML HOW -7.8 (+8.8) 135.7 (-20.7) 22%
Baseline Tuned ML HOW -10.7 (+11.7) 136.6 (-21.6) 15%
Baseline ML HOW -11.2 (+12.2) 135.9 (-20.9) 14%
Baseline Plus ML HOW -10.0 (+11.0) 136.1 (-21.1) 15%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 13, 2026 HOW 7861 SCST
Feb 7, 2026 HOW 8557 SCST
Mar 4, 2025 SCST 7969 HOW
Feb 4, 2025 SCST 8966 HOW
Feb 20, 2024 SCST 7568 HOW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCST HOW
Overall 10-22 24-11
Conference 7-7 11-3
Home 6-5 11-4
Away 3-16 7-6
Neutral 1-1 6-1
Last 5 0-5 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.4 75.5
Avg Pts Against 80.6 69.4
Massey -20.7 (#363) -6.3 (#264)
Bradley-Terry -4.10 (#362) -0.46 (#218)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.63 (#361) -1.12 (#239)
RPI 0.345 (#358) 0.488 (#198)
Shooting & Four Factors SCST HOW
FG% 38.4% 41.5%
3PT% 33.3% 34.5%
REB / G 30.9 33.1
OREB / G 11.9 10.8
AST / TO 0.77 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 43.7% 47.3%
TOV% 19.9% 19.9%
ORB% 30.5% 30.7%
FT Rate 22.3% 28.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.1% 51.5%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 20.2%
DRB% 58.3% 67.0%
Opp FT Rate 35.7% 28.8%

Game Analysis

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