Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | SCST +310 HOW -395 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +1 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -10.6 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (-30.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -10.0 (+11.0) | 136.1 (-21.1) | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -7.8 (+8.8) | 135.7 (-20.7) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -10.7 (+11.7) | 136.6 (-21.6) | 15% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -11.2 (+12.2) | 135.9 (-20.9) | 14% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
| Feb 20, 2024 | SCST 75 – 68 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Home | 6-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 3-16 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -20.7 (#363) | -6.3 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.10 (#362) | -0.46 (#218) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.63 (#361) | -1.12 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.345 (#358) | 0.488 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.7% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.1% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 58.3% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.7% | 28.8% |
Game Analysis
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