Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | HOW -1450 SCST +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +28 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -16.4 (+11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -13.7 (+14.3) | 139.4 (+2.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -12.5 (+15.5) | 140.0 (+2.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -13.5 (+14.5) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -13.8 (+14.2) | 140.0 (+2.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
| Feb 20, 2024 | SCST 75 – 68 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#254) | -19.1 (#362) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#269) | -2.63 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#260) | -3.72 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#277) | 0.382 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 35.2% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 60.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 37.6% |
Game Analysis
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