Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | HOW -1800 SCST +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +17 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | HOW -16.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -15.4 (+1.6) | 144.0 (-5.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -14.5 (+2.5) | 141.9 (-2.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -16.0 (+1.0) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -15.9 (+1.1) | 142.8 (-3.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
| Feb 20, 2024 | SCST 75 – 68 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-16 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 67.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -1.9 (#198) | -18.2 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#241) | -2.52 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.97 (#239) | -3.40 (#353) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#198) | 0.419 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.4% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
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