Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | HOW -500 SCST +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +7 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -7.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.8 (-13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -4.2 (-11.2) | 151.5 (-8.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -4.8 (-11.8) | 147.5 (-4.5) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -4.0 (-11.0) | 149.8 (-6.8) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -4.5 (-11.5) | 150.4 (-7.4) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-17 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 9-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-9 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 69.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#270) | -9.8 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#291) | -1.54 (#309) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#283) | -1.85 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#292) | 0.423 (#319) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 14.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 20.4% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 36.7% |
Game Analysis
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