Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | SCST -500 HOW +360 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +10 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SCST -10.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.9 (-7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -9.4 (+0.6) | 150.0 (-2.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -10.5 (-0.5) | 152.3 (-4.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCST -9.9 (+0.1) | 154.2 (-6.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -10.3 (-0.3) | 152.1 (-4.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Feb 4, 2025 | SCST 89 – 66 HOW |
| Feb 20, 2024 | SCST 75 – 68 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-10 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.5 | 80.7 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#189) | -8.6 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#232) | -1.48 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.83 (#233) | -2.05 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#208) | 0.460 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCST | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 35.3% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 27.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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