Betting Lines
| Spread | SCST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | HOW +100 SCST -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCST +23 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | SCST -0.5 (-22.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCST -0.5 (-22.5) | 152.0 (+3.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCST -0.6 (-22.4) | 147.7 (+7.3) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCST -0.1 (-22.9) | 151.6 (+3.4) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -0.1 (-23.1) | 152.9 (+2.1) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | HOW 78 – 61 SCST |
| Feb 7, 2026 | HOW 85 – 57 SCST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCST 58 – 57 HOW |
| Mar 4, 2025 | SCST 79 – 69 HOW |
| Feb 20, 2024 | SCST 75 – 68 HOW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 11-3 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-2 |
| Away | 3-11 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#289) | -3.9 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#281) | -1.38 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#283) | -1.48 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#266) | 0.431 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOW | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.6% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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