Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 173.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -285 AUB +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +4 | 204 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -10.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 181.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -9.8 (-5.8) | 168.8 (+35.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -7.9 (-3.9) | 168.5 (+35.5) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -9.7 (-5.7) | 167.9 (+36.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -9.4 (-5.4) | 165.1 (+38.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AUB 70 – 68 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AUB 92 – 78 UGA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AUB 97 – 76 UGA |
| Feb 2, 2023 | AUB 94 – 73 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-4 | 14-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 20.4 (#12) | 13.5 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#41) | 2.72 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.95 (#47) | 4.57 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.577 (#58) | 0.609 (#34) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 44.2 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 54.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 39.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.3% | 33.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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