Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | UGA +225 AUB -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +21 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -9.2 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (+23.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -9.7 (-11.3) | 150.9 (+22.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -7.0 (-14.0) | 148.9 (+24.1) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -7.5 (-13.5) | 149.5 (+23.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -7.9 (-13.1) | 150.3 (+22.7) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | UGA 104 – 100 AUB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AUB 70 – 68 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AUB 92 – 78 UGA |
| Feb 2, 2023 | AUB 94 – 73 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 83.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#89) | 19.1 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.34 (#77) | 2.49 (#15) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#87) | 3.21 (#13) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#94) | 0.618 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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