Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | AUB -1600 UGA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +14 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -17.2 (-3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.3 (+19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -14.9 (-0.9) | 152.1 (+17.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -14.7 (-0.7) | 153.4 (+16.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -14.4 (-0.4) | 153.0 (+17.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -15.1 (-1.1) | 153.5 (+16.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | UGA 104 – 100 AUB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AUB 70 – 68 UGA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AUB 97 – 76 UGA |
| Feb 2, 2023 | AUB 94 – 73 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 20-17 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-1 | 13-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 74.7 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#6) | 5.9 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.59 (#14) | 1.17 (#87) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.32 (#10) | 1.38 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#12) | 0.535 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.67 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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