Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UGA +210 AUB -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -9.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -6.4 (+4.4) | 143.1 (-5.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -5.6 (+3.6) | 142.8 (-4.8) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -5.8 (+3.8) | 144.8 (-6.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -6.5 (+4.5) | 144.1 (-6.1) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | UGA 104 – 100 AUB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AUB 92 – 78 UGA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AUB 97 – 76 UGA |
| Feb 2, 2023 | AUB 94 – 73 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 32-6 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 15-3 |
| Home | 15-3 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-7 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 11-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 69.4 |
| Massey | 14.3 (#33) | 27.5 (#1) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.39 (#14) | 5.15 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.45 (#11) | 6.53 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.620 (#27) | 0.722 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 50.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 58.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 38.7% | 34.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.8% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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