Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | AUB -800 UGA +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +21 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -11.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.0 (+32.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -10.1 (+10.9) | 138.7 (+28.3) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -13.1 (+7.9) | 139.2 (+27.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -10.4 (+10.6) | 139.3 (+27.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -10.6 (+10.4) | 140.4 (+26.6) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | UGA 104 – 100 AUB |
| Feb 22, 2025 | AUB 82 – 70 UGA |
| Jan 18, 2025 | AUB 70 – 68 UGA |
| Mar 9, 2024 | AUB 92 – 78 UGA |
| Feb 24, 2024 | AUB 97 – 76 UGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 71.5 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#33) | 3.2 (#118) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.13 (#33) | 0.99 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.49 (#39) | 1.39 (#81) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#20) | 0.531 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | UGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 38.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 17.9% |
Game Analysis
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