Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | WGA +110 EKU -130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WGA +12 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | WGA -1.9 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WGA -0.2 (+11.8) | 153.0 (+11.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WGA -1.3 (+10.7) | 147.4 (+16.6) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WGA -1.2 (+10.8) | 149.0 (+15.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WGA -0.9 (+11.1) | 150.3 (+13.7) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | EKU 81 – 80 WGA |
| Feb 14, 2025 | EKU 95 – 73 WGA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WGA | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.5 | 83.1 |
| Massey | -8.1 (#286) | -6.1 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#211) | -1.34 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#266) | -1.70 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#147) | 0.466 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WGA | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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