Betting Lines
| Spread | EKU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | EKU -1200 WGA +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EKU +22 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | EKU -13.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (+14.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EKU -11.5 (+10.5) | 151.1 (+16.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EKU -14.0 (+8.0) | 151.3 (+16.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EKU -12.1 (+9.9) | 151.8 (+16.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EKU -12.5 (+9.5) | 152.9 (+15.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | EKU 81 – 80 WGA |
| Jan 3, 2026 | WGA 88 – 76 EKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EKU | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 10-3 | 4-8 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 78.8 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#188) | -11.9 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#183) | -2.47 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#170) | -2.96 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#178) | 0.394 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EKU | WGA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 56.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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