And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–15 on winners spread MAE 8.6 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Illinois @ Penn State -14.2 151.3 16% 73–65 ✓
Nevada @ Fresno State -3.9 142.4 31% 66–65 ✓
Hampton @ UNC Wilmington +10.3 135.0 84% 45–49 ✓
UC Irvine @ Cal State Fullerton +0.6 151.4 49% 86–64 ✗
Purdue @ Wisconsin -6.4 146.4 26% 89–73 ✓
Wyoming @ New Mexico +5.3 147.2 73% 58–78 ✓
Colorado State @ Grand Canyon +2.9 141.4 64% 70–60 ✗
Kansas City @ Omaha +8.2 140.5 68% 73–66 ✗
Northern Arizona @ Montana State +10.8 135.2 85% 68–77 ✓
Florida @ Missouri -6.6 147.5 28% 74–76 ✗
UT Arlington @ Southern Utah -12.1 131.8 17% 86–77 ✓
Cal Poly @ Long Beach State +0.4 157.3 56% 66–74 ✓
Sacramento State @ Weber State +7.3 153.6 79% 82–95 ✓
Boise State @ San Diego State +1.8 137.6 64% 107–110 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC San Diego +3.0 136.9 57% 73–83 ✓
Richmond @ Fordham +0.0 134.4 54% 83–75 ✗
Creighton @ Seton Hall +4.9 136.4 67% 54–56 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Canisius -1.1 134.4 38% 78–82 ✗
Manhattan @ Merrimack +6.6 141.5 77% 66–73 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Tulane -6.8 151.4 26% 66–69 ✗
UAB @ South Florida +6.8 155.0 72% 109–106 ✗
Denver @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +10.3 153.1 83% 88–92 ✓
New Haven @ Central Connecticut +5.6 131.7 66% 61–72 ✓
Marquette @ UConn +21.8 142.5 91% 57–73 ✓
Cleveland State @ Purdue Fort Wayne +9.5 151.8 82% 71–74 ✓
Wright State @ IU Indianapolis -9.9 155.5 16% 81–77 ✓
Siena @ Rider -12.2 129.6 14% 74–65 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Quinnipiac +11.0 139.9 85% 69–80 ✓
Fairfield @ Niagara -5.0 136.7 27% 83–75 ✓
Iona @ Marist +2.4 140.0 64% 38–83 ✓
Long Island University @ Chicago State -5.3 147.9 32% 74–55 ✓
Le Moyne @ Mercyhurst -0.1 138.1 44% 60–74 ✗
Kennesaw State @ Delaware -4.0 144.3 37% 52–67 ✗
Jacksonville State @ Liberty +9.9 136.7 86% 69–78 ✓
Sam Houston @ Middle Tennessee +3.8 147.1 69% 67–68 ✓
UIC @ Valparaiso +2.2 136.9 64% 59–66 ✓
Indiana State @ Drake +5.1 145.8 74% 72–74 ✓
Robert Morris @ Oakland +5.4 157.5 67% 73–96 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Western Kentucky +9.2 133.3 81% 61–66 ✓
New Mexico State @ Missouri State -0.1 134.2 49% 82–89 ✗
Northern Iowa @ Evansville -10.3 127.1 15% 62–48 ✓
Tulsa @ North Texas -8.9 134.0 17% 67–72 ✗
Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky +0.6 142.7 59% 79–94 ✓
Stonehill @ Wagner +9.8 140.1 83% 69–60 ✗
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Saint Francis -3.9 133.2 22% 82–85 ✗
UTEP @ Florida International +8.3 146.4 79% 64–76 ✓
Bradley @ Murray State +7.4 155.5 81% 66–86 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Belmont +9.4 154.2 79% 68–67 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.