Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -135 RMU +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +23 | 169 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -8.0 (+15.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.9 (+0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.1 (+17.9) | 156.5 (+12.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | OAK -2.2 (+20.8) | 156.4 (+12.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | OAK -5.0 (+18.0) | 155.4 (+13.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -5.4 (+17.6) | 157.5 (+11.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | RMU 93 – 69 OAK |
| Mar 10, 2025 | RMU 79 – 76 OAK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RMU 73 – 71 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RMU 79 – 71 OAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OAK 63 – 43 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 13-7 |
| Home | 7-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 8-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 2.5 (#130) | -1.7 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#104) | 0.33 (#143) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.77 (#121) | 0.63 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#40) | 0.507 (#161) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.42 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 38.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.6% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 36.0% |
Game Analysis
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