You know he knows just exactly what the facts is. "Take the Money and Run" - The Steve Miller Band
Horizon League · OU Credit Union O'rena · January 4, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread OAK -1.5 Home covered
O/U 161.5 Over
Money OAK -135 / RMU +114
Model Predictions
Spread Total OAK win
Actual OAK +23 169 Won
Massey OAK -8.0 (+15.0) — —
Massey Totals — 168.9 (+0.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 70% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML OAK -5.0 (+18.0) 155.4 (+13.6) 70% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ OAK -2.2 (+20.8) 156.4 (+12.6) 59% ✓
Baseline Plus ML OAK -5.1 (+17.9) 156.5 (+12.5) 70% ✓
Baseline ML OAK -5.4 (+17.6) 157.5 (+11.5) 67% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 RMU 93 – 69 OAK
Mar 10, 2025 RMU 79 – 76 OAK
Jan 25, 2025 RMU 73 – 71 OAK
Jan 4, 2025 RMU 79 – 71 OAK
Feb 23, 2024 OAK 63 – 43 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OAK RMU
Overall 16-16 22-11
Conference 12-8 13-7
Home 7-6 14-3
Away 8-9 8-7
Neutral 1-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 4-1
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 81.6 76.8
Avg Pts Against 82.8 73.4
Massey 2.5 (#130) -1.7 (#195)
Bradley-Terry 0.92 (#104) 0.33 (#143)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.77 (#121) 0.63 (#131)
RPI 0.599 (#40) 0.507 (#161)
Shooting & Four Factors OAK RMU
FG% 46.2% 45.4%
3PT% 35.8% 36.0%
REB / G 33.4 37.4
OREB / G 9.9 13.6
AST / TO 1.42 1.32
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.2% 52.6%
TOV% 14.7% 18.8%
ORB% 27.5% 38.7%
FT Rate 27.7% 20.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.6% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 14.1% 16.7%
DRB% 65.9% 69.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 36.0%

Game Analysis

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