Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | RMU +180 OAK -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +20 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -6.3 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-47.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -7.5 (-12.5) | 150.9 (-44.9) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -4.3 (-15.7) | 149.4 (-43.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -7.5 (-12.5) | 152.4 (-46.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -7.1 (-12.9) | 151.9 (-45.9) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | RMU 93 – 69 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OAK 96 – 73 RMU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | RMU 79 – 76 OAK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RMU 73 – 71 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RMU 79 – 71 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 15-5 |
| Home | 7-9 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#279) | 3.4 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.56 (#311) | 0.79 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#315) | 0.73 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.441 (#287) | 0.560 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.0% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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