Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -120 OAK +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +24 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -0.6 (+24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.6 (-1.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RMU -2.1 (+21.9) | 153.3 (+8.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -1.6 (+22.4) | 152.3 (+9.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -0.9 (+23.1) | 154.0 (+8.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -1.5 (+22.5) | 153.7 (+8.3) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | OAK 96 – 73 RMU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | RMU 79 – 76 OAK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RMU 73 – 71 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RMU 79 – 71 OAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OAK 63 – 43 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 7-6 |
| Away | 8-7 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.8 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#199) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#170) | 0.26 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#169) | 0.09 (#160) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#190) | 0.548 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 14.6% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.7% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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