Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Robert Morris Colonials
79 – 76 OT
FINAL Neutral Conference Barbasol Horizon League
Oakland Golden Grizzlies
Horizon League · Corteva Coliseum (Neutral) · March 10, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Over
Money RMU -155 / OAK +135
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +3 155 Won
Massey RMU -2.4 (+0.6) — —
Massey Totals — 139.2 (+15.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 69% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 68% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -2.9 (+0.1) 140.8 (+14.2) 62% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -1.5 (+1.5) 141.6 (+13.4) 58% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -2.2 (+0.8) 141.3 (+13.7) 66% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -2.5 (+0.5) 141.8 (+13.2) 63% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 15, 2026 RMU 93 – 69 OAK
Jan 4, 2026 OAK 96 – 73 RMU
Jan 25, 2025 RMU 73 – 71 OAK
Jan 4, 2025 RMU 79 – 71 OAK
Feb 23, 2024 OAK 63 – 43 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU OAK
Overall 26-9 16-18
Conference 15-5 11-9
Home 16-2 9-4
Away 8-6 6-11
Neutral 2-1 1-3
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.9 70.5
Avg Pts Against 71.6 72.2
Massey 1.0 (#145) -1.5 (#184)
Bradley-Terry 0.66 (#117) -0.13 (#178)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.60 (#125) -0.14 (#177)
RPI 0.536 (#106) 0.523 (#136)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU OAK
FG% 44.9% 43.6%
3PT% 34.2% 30.5%
REB / G 36.8 35.0
OREB / G 12.2 11.8
AST / TO 1.20 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 50.0%
TOV% 18.5% 17.9%
ORB% 34.9% 34.1%
FT Rate 27.8% 21.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.2% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 19.2% 16.1%
DRB% 71.9% 67.7%
Opp FT Rate 21.5% 20.4%

Game Analysis

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