Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -250 RMU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +8 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -6.2 (-14.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+12.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -4.2 (-12.2) | 141.0 (+9.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -5.4 (-13.4) | 140.3 (+9.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -3.8 (-11.8) | 140.1 (+9.9) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -3.9 (-11.9) | 140.8 (+9.2) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | RMU 93 – 69 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OAK 96 – 73 RMU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | RMU 79 – 76 OAK |
| Jan 25, 2025 | RMU 73 – 71 OAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OAK 63 – 43 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-4 | 16-2 |
| Away | 6-11 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#193) | -4.1 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.13 (#183) | -0.24 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#161) | -0.46 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#131) | 0.468 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.1% | 28.2% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 38.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 17.9% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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