Betting Lines
| Spread | RMU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | RMU -130 OAK +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +2 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | RMU -2.3 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RMU -0.5 (+1.5) | 137.2 (+6.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -0.4 (+2.4) | 138.6 (+5.4) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RMU -1.6 (+0.4) | 136.9 (+7.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RMU -1.1 (+0.9) | 137.7 (+6.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | RMU 93 – 69 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2026 | OAK 96 – 73 RMU |
| Mar 10, 2025 | RMU 79 – 76 OAK |
| Jan 4, 2025 | RMU 79 – 71 OAK |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OAK 63 – 43 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-6 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.9 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | -1.1 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#141) | 0.05 (#177) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#169) | 0.05 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#161) | 0.524 (#135) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RMU | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 27.6% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 47.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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