Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -325 MAN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -8.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -5.5 (+1.5) | 141.7 (-2.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -6.2 (+0.8) | 140.3 (-1.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -6.6 (+0.4) | 141.5 (-2.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -5.6 (+1.4) | 142.2 (-3.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2025 | MAN 79 – 75 MRMK |
| Jan 12, 2025 | MRMK 69 – 62 MAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 11-0 | 7-7 |
| Away | 9-8 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 79.6 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#261) | -10.9 (#323) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#207) | -0.81 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#211) | -1.45 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#234) | 0.470 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 27.7 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 48.7% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 29.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 57.5% | 59.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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