Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -380 MAN +290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +7 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | MRMK -8.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -6.6 (+0.4) | 142.1 (-11.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -5.0 (+2.0) | 140.1 (-9.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -5.1 (+1.9) | 141.3 (-10.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -5.1 (+1.9) | 140.9 (-9.9) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | MRMK 73 – 66 MAN |
| Feb 15, 2025 | MAN 79 – 75 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 9-8 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.2 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#199) | -6.3 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#170) | -0.59 (#221) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#179) | -1.24 (#254) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#146) | 0.461 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | MAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 28.5 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 19.8% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 14.3% |
| DRB% | 61.7% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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