Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 168.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -285 SAC +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +13 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -9.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.6 (+11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -8.3 (+4.7) | 157.1 (+19.9) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -7.4 (+5.6) | 152.6 (+24.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -7.3 (+5.7) | 153.6 (+23.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -7.9 (+5.1) | 157.2 (+19.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WEB 58 – 53 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.8 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 83.6 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#187) | -6.8 (#271) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#267) | -1.68 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#233) | -2.39 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#267) | 0.421 (#309) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 30.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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