Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | WEB -175 SAC +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +13 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -4.1 (+8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.1 (+21.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -4.3 (+8.7) | 129.7 (+23.3) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -3.5 (+9.5) | 130.5 (+22.5) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -3.3 (+9.7) | 130.3 (+22.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -3.3 (+9.7) | 130.8 (+22.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WEB 58 – 53 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 3-15 |
| Home | 5-10 | 5-11 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -7.7 (#289) | -11.8 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#316) | -2.58 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#308) | -3.30 (#352) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#307) | 0.379 (#358) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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