Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | WEB -1200 SAC +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +5 | 111 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -17.2 (-12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.6 (-20.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -10.9 (-5.9) | 128.6 (-17.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -13.2 (-8.2) | 132.7 (-21.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -12.5 (-7.5) | 133.2 (-22.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -13.3 (-8.3) | 131.3 (-20.3) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 10-24 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.1 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 3.7 (#113) | -10.1 (#324) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#137) | -1.81 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#125) | -2.35 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#140) | 0.407 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WEB | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 29.6% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 23.1% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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