He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band
Big Sky Conference · Dee Events Center · February 21, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WEB -7.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Over
Money WEB -300 / SAC +250
Model Predictions
Spread Total WEB win
Actual SAC +3 157 Lost
Massey WEB -6.9 (-9.9) — —
Massey Totals — 133.4 (+23.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 84% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✗
Baseline Plus ML WEB -5.7 (-8.7) 134.0 (+23.0) 65% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WEB -6.7 (-9.7) 133.3 (+23.7) 71% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML WEB -5.2 (-8.2) 133.8 (+23.2) 67% ✗
Baseline ML WEB -5.5 (-8.5) 133.7 (+23.3) 62% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 3, 2026 SAC 104 – 90 WEB
Jan 4, 2026 WEB 95 – 82 SAC
Mar 9, 2025 WEB 83 – 70 SAC
Jan 25, 2025 WEB 87 – 81 SAC
Feb 11, 2024 WEB 58 – 53 SAC

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WEB SAC
Overall 12-22 7-25
Conference 5-13 3-15
Home 5-10 5-11
Away 4-11 2-13
Neutral 3-1 0-1
Last 5 1-4 0-5
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 67.9 63.3
Avg Pts Against 74.4 73.4
Massey -8.0 (#292) -11.7 (#335)
Bradley-Terry -1.65 (#315) -2.71 (#352)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.94 (#308) -3.47 (#357)
RPI 0.427 (#315) 0.368 (#357)
Shooting & Four Factors WEB SAC
FG% 44.1% 40.4%
3PT% 32.9% 30.3%
REB / G 31.7 33.2
OREB / G 8.2 9.8
AST / TO 0.86 0.82
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 47.3%
TOV% 17.7% 20.8%
ORB% 25.0% 27.8%
FT Rate 24.7% 22.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.2% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 15.9% 17.3%
DRB% 69.1% 71.5%
Opp FT Rate 28.1% 29.8%

Game Analysis

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