Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +130 WEB -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +6 | 168 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -1.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.3 (+38.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -2.7 (-3.3) | 133.0 (+35.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -2.5 (-3.5) | 131.4 (+36.6) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -1.9 (-4.1) | 131.7 (+36.3) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -3.5 (-2.5) | 132.2 (+35.8) | 31% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WEB 58 – 53 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 12-22 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-11 | 5-10 |
| Away | 2-13 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#330) | -6.2 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#336) | -1.31 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.29 (#345) | -1.43 (#270) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#351) | 0.447 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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