Betting Lines
| Spread | SAC -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | SAC -122 WEB +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +14 | 194 | Won |
| Massey | WEB -2.1 (+16.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.1 (+26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -1.4 (+15.4) | 157.8 (+36.2) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -1.5 (+15.5) | 155.6 (+38.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -1.3 (+15.3) | 157.5 (+36.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -1.7 (+15.7) | 159.2 (+34.8) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
| Feb 11, 2024 | WEB 58 – 53 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 0-16 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 78.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.6 | 79.1 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#263) | -1.2 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.99 (#255) | -0.65 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#253) | -0.62 (#211) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#289) | 0.460 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 29.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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