Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | WIS +210 PUR -258 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +16 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -8.9 (-7.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -5.0 (-11.0) | 145.6 (+16.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -4.9 (-11.1) | 145.0 (+17.0) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -5.7 (-10.3) | 146.7 (+15.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -6.4 (-9.6) | 146.4 (+15.6) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WIS 97 – 93 PUR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WIS 94 – 84 PUR |
| Mar 16, 2024 | WIS 76 – 75 PUR |
| Mar 10, 2024 | PUR 78 – 70 WIS |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PUR 75 – 69 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 30-9 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 15-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 10-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#56) | 23.3 (#6) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#70) | 4.52 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#56) | 6.72 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#73) | 0.667 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | PUR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 51.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 39.9% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.54 | 2.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 59.3% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 40.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
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