Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | PUR -225 WIS +190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +10 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | PUR -4.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.1 (+29.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -5.3 (-15.3) | 147.5 (+30.5) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -5.9 (-15.9) | 146.5 (+31.5) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -5.4 (-15.4) | 148.9 (+29.1) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -5.6 (-15.6) | 149.1 (+28.9) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WIS 97 – 93 PUR |
| Jan 4, 2026 | PUR 89 – 73 WIS |
| Mar 16, 2024 | WIS 76 – 75 PUR |
| Mar 10, 2024 | PUR 78 – 70 WIS |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PUR 75 – 69 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 27-10 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-7 |
| Home | 14-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 80.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.4 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 19.1 (#13) | 17.7 (#17) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#8) | 3.03 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.32 (#9) | 4.05 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.654 (#4) | 0.628 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 29.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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