Betting Lines
| Spread | PUR -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | PUR -600 WIS +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PUR +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | PUR -12.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PUR -13.0 (-5.0) | 152.3 (-4.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PUR -12.1 (-4.1) | 150.4 (-2.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PUR -12.3 (-4.3) | 154.5 (-6.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PUR -12.3 (-4.3) | 155.2 (-7.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | WIS 97 – 93 PUR |
| Jan 4, 2026 | PUR 89 – 73 WIS |
| Feb 15, 2025 | WIS 94 – 84 PUR |
| Mar 16, 2024 | WIS 76 – 75 PUR |
| Feb 4, 2024 | PUR 75 – 69 WIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PUR | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-5 | 22-14 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 11-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 14-3 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 22.2 (#3) | 12.8 (#31) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.86 (#1) | 1.98 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.64 (#2) | 2.63 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.686 (#1) | 0.589 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PUR | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 76.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.