Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CAN +195 SHU -238 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CAN +4 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -1.6 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+20.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.9 (+6.9) | 136.0 (+24.0) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -1.0 (+5.0) | 132.5 (+27.5) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.1 (+5.1) | 134.4 (+25.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -2.2 (+6.2) | 132.8 (+27.2) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | SHU 69 – 66 CAN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SHU 93 – 84 CAN |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SHU 99 – 82 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.2 | 74.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 77.6 |
| Massey | -14.4 (#344) | -9.0 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.11 (#265) | -1.65 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#274) | -2.02 (#294) |
| RPI | 0.463 (#245) | 0.418 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.4% |
Game Analysis
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