Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -650 CAN +470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -10.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -7.8 (-4.8) | 138.3 (-3.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -7.4 (-4.4) | 136.8 (-1.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -7.7 (-4.7) | 137.3 (-2.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -7.2 (-4.2) | 134.4 (+0.6) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | CAN 82 – 78 SHU |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SHU 93 – 84 CAN |
| Jan 5, 2025 | SHU 99 – 82 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-13 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.3 | 62.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#278) | -14.8 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#290) | -1.40 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#274) | -2.01 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.445 (#273) | 0.440 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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