Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | TULN +142 FAU -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +3 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -8.1 (+11.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -6.4 (+9.4) | 151.4 (-16.4) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -8.1 (+11.1) | 149.4 (-14.4) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -6.5 (+9.5) | 151.4 (-16.4) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -6.8 (+9.8) | 151.4 (-16.4) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | FAU 79 – 74 TULN |
| Mar 14, 2025 | TULN 83 – 76 FAU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TULN 80 – 65 FAU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FAU 79 – 73 TULN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | FAU 85 – 84 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 10-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#237) | 7.2 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#127) | 1.13 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#169) | 1.52 (#92) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#116) | 0.576 (#62) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.6% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 37.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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