Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Tulane Green Wave
83 76
FINAL Neutral Conference American Athletic Conference
Florida Atlantic Owls
American Conference · Dickies Arena (Neutral) · March 14, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread FAU -3.5 Home covered
O/U 146.5 Over
Money TULN +140 / FAU -165
Model Predictions
Spread Total TULN win
Actual TULN +7 159 Won
Massey FAU -2.9 (+9.9)
Massey Totals 150.5 (+8.5)
Bradley-Terry 36%
Weighted B-T 34%
Baseline Plus ML FAU -1.3 (+8.3) 145.5 (+13.5) 45%
Model 4 ML FAU -2.4 (+9.4) 144.8 (+14.2) 39%
Model 3 ML FAU -1.4 (+8.4) 145.6 (+13.4) 43%
Baseline ML FAU -1.8 (+8.8) 144.2 (+14.8) 41%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 22, 2026 FAU 7974 TULN
Jan 4, 2026 TULN 6966 FAU
Jan 16, 2025 TULN 8065 FAU
Mar 2, 2024 FAU 7973 TULN
Jan 12, 2024 FAU 8584 TULN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TULN FAU
Overall 19-15 18-16
Conference 12-6 10-8
Home 14-3 8-5
Away 4-7 6-7
Neutral 1-5 4-4
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 73.7 78.1
Avg Pts Against 71.7 76.4
Massey 1.0 (#144) 3.9 (#104)
Bradley-Terry -0.04 (#170) 0.53 (#125)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.02 (#167) 0.66 (#123)
RPI 0.503 (#167) 0.537 (#106)
Shooting & Four Factors TULN FAU
FG% 45.3% 46.6%
3PT% 33.8% 35.3%
REB / G 33.8 36.4
OREB / G 9.1 10.6
AST / TO 1.32 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 52.0% 53.6%
TOV% 16.1% 16.6%
ORB% 27.1% 30.3%
FT Rate 25.9% 23.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.8% 49.5%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 16.2%
DRB% 68.6% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 24.1%

Game Analysis

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