Tulane
Green Wave
83
–
76
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
American Athletic Conference
Florida Atlantic
Owls
Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | TULN +140 FAU -165 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TULN +7 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -2.9 (+9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -2.3 (+9.3) | 144.7 (+14.3) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -3.6 (+10.6) | 144.6 (+14.4) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -2.1 (+9.1) | 145.6 (+13.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -2.5 (+9.5) | 144.3 (+14.7) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | FAU 79 – 74 TULN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | TULN 69 – 66 FAU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TULN 80 – 65 FAU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FAU 79 – 73 TULN |
| Jan 12, 2024 | FAU 85 – 84 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 8-5 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 76.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#144) | 3.9 (#104) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#170) | 0.53 (#125) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#167) | 0.66 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#167) | 0.537 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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