Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -16.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.5 Under |
| Money | FAU -2000 TULN +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +6 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -13.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 171.9 (-19.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -12.8 (-6.8) | 162.8 (-10.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -13.8 (-7.8) | 165.4 (-13.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -14.3 (-8.3) | 165.5 (-13.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -12.7 (-6.7) | 164.7 (-12.7) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | FAU 79 – 74 TULN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | TULN 69 – 66 FAU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | TULN 83 – 76 FAU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TULN 80 – 65 FAU |
| Jan 12, 2024 | FAU 85 – 84 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-9 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-1 | 11-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.0 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 80.6 |
| Massey | 12.8 (#30) | 2.7 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.88 (#45) | 0.01 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.31 (#42) | 0.17 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.604 (#19) | 0.481 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | TULN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 19.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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