What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
American Conference · Abessinio Court at Eleanor R. Baldwin Arena · March 2, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread FAU -16.5 Away covered
O/U 164.5 Under
Money FAU -2000 / TULN +900
Model Predictions
Spread Total FAU win
Actual FAU +6 152 Won
Massey FAU -13.3 (-7.3)
Massey Totals 171.9 (-19.9)
Bradley-Terry 92%
Weighted B-T 94%
Baseline Plus ML FAU -14.3 (-8.3) 165.5 (-13.5) 88%
Model 4 ML FAU -13.8 (-7.8) 165.4 (-13.4) 88%
Model 3 ML FAU -12.8 (-6.8) 162.8 (-10.8) 88%
Baseline ML FAU -12.7 (-6.7) 164.7 (-12.7) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 22, 2026 FAU 7974 TULN
Jan 4, 2026 TULN 6966 FAU
Mar 14, 2025 TULN 8376 FAU
Jan 16, 2025 TULN 8065 FAU
Jan 12, 2024 FAU 8584 TULN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings FAU TULN
Overall 25-9 14-17
Conference 14-4 5-13
Home 13-1 11-6
Away 5-5 2-8
Neutral 7-3 1-3
Last 5 3-2 0-5
Streak L2 L1
Avg Pts For 82.0 81.5
Avg Pts Against 73.4 80.6
Massey 12.8 (#30) 2.7 (#128)
Bradley-Terry 1.88 (#45) 0.01 (#164)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.31 (#42) 0.17 (#157)
RPI 0.604 (#19) 0.481 (#213)
Shooting & Four Factors FAU TULN
FG% 47.8% 48.1%
3PT% 36.0% 35.6%
REB / G 38.2 32.4
OREB / G 12.2 6.6
AST / TO 1.39 1.26
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.9% 54.5%
TOV% 15.6% 14.7%
ORB% 34.2% 19.7%
FT Rate 23.5% 34.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 51.0%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 17.7%
DRB% 70.0% 66.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.7% 23.3%

Game Analysis

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