Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | TULN +250 FAU -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +1 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -6.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 170.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -3.6 (+2.6) | 159.6 (+9.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -6.1 (+5.1) | 159.2 (+9.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -3.3 (+2.3) | 161.7 (+7.3) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -3.5 (+2.5) | 159.5 (+9.5) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | FAU 79 – 74 TULN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | TULN 69 – 66 FAU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | TULN 83 – 76 FAU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TULN 80 – 65 FAU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | FAU 79 – 73 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 25-9 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 7-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 82.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#105) | 14.6 (#18) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#122) | 1.87 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#112) | 2.47 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#164) | 0.610 (#26) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.2% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 18.7% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 38.0% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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