Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +350 WRST -455 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +4 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -11.2 (+7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.9 (-10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -8.5 (+4.5) | 154.5 (+3.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -11.4 (+7.4) | 155.3 (+2.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -9.9 (+5.9) | 155.5 (+2.5) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -10.7 (+6.7) | 156.0 (+2.0) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WRST 83 – 76 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 15-5 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.2 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -11.9 (#332) | 3.1 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#334) | 0.11 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.08 (#332) | 0.40 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.371 (#353) | 0.510 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.7% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 62.3% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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