The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Horizon League · The Jungle · January 4, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -8.5 Home covered
O/U 162.5 Under
Money IUIN +350 / WRST -455
Model Predictions
Spread Total IUIN win
Actual WRST +4 158 Lost
Massey WRST -11.2 (+7.2) — —
Massey Totals — 168.9 (-10.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 15% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 6% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -10.7 (+6.7) 156.0 (+2.0) 16% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -8.5 (+4.5) 154.5 (+3.5) 21% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -11.4 (+7.4) 155.3 (+2.7) 15% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -9.9 (+5.9) 155.5 (+2.5) 16% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 WRST 85 – 73 IUIN
Mar 5, 2025 WRST 98 – 85 IUIN
Mar 1, 2025 IUIN 91 – 84 WRST
Feb 9, 2025 WRST 91 – 73 IUIN
Jan 28, 2024 WRST 83 – 76 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings IUIN WRST
Overall 7-25 23-12
Conference 3-17 15-5
Home 5-9 11-5
Away 2-15 9-5
Neutral 0-1 3-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 80.9 79.8
Avg Pts Against 89.2 75.6
Massey -11.9 (#332) 3.1 (#123)
Bradley-Terry -2.28 (#334) 0.11 (#165)
W. Bradley-Terry -3.08 (#332) 0.40 (#145)
RPI 0.371 (#353) 0.510 (#151)
Shooting & Four Factors IUIN WRST
FG% 43.9% 46.7%
3PT% 30.7% 34.8%
REB / G 32.1 33.7
OREB / G 11.5 10.4
AST / TO 1.39 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.0% 53.1%
TOV% 16.5% 16.3%
ORB% 28.1% 30.2%
FT Rate 15.9% 22.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 58.7% 50.6%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 18.8%
DRB% 62.3% 68.4%
Opp FT Rate 35.3% 25.6%

Game Analysis

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