Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -600 IUIN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +13 | 183 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -9.3 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (+25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -8.0 (+5.0) | 154.4 (+28.6) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -9.2 (+3.8) | 153.1 (+29.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -8.3 (+4.7) | 154.7 (+28.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -7.1 (+5.9) | 155.3 (+27.7) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WRST 83 – 76 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#220) | -9.3 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.71 (#234) | -1.79 (#325) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#224) | -2.07 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.477 (#227) | 0.416 (#328) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.8% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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