Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | IUIN +145 WRST -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +7 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -3.6 (+10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+19.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -2.4 (+9.4) | 151.3 (+23.7) | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -3.3 (+10.3) | 152.2 (+22.8) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.7 (+9.7) | 153.8 (+21.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -2.5 (+9.5) | 154.1 (+20.9) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WRST 83 – 76 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 8-12 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 76.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -9.6 (#319) | -2.9 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#328) | -0.57 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.23 (#322) | -0.58 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#334) | 0.482 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 48.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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