Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | WRST -650 IUIN +425 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +18 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -10.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -9.9 (+8.1) | 152.0 (+12.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WRST -10.2 (+7.8) | 149.6 (+14.4) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WRST -9.0 (+9.0) | 150.8 (+13.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -8.9 (+9.1) | 151.5 (+12.5) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WRST 83 – 76 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-14 |
| Home | 11-4 | 6-8 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#199) | -9.2 (#311) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#203) | -2.09 (#332) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#190) | -2.44 (#326) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#184) | 0.397 (#339) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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