I'll write on your tombstone, "I thank you for dinner." "Bungle in the Jungle" - Jethro Tull
Horizon League · Nutter Center · February 9, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -9.5 Home covered
O/U 151.5 Over
Money WRST -650 / IUIN +425
Model Predictions
Spread Total WRST win
Actual WRST +18 164 Won
Massey WRST -10.2 (+7.8) — —
Massey Totals — 154.6 (+9.4) —
Bradley-Terry — — 91% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 94% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -9.0 (+9.0) 150.8 (+13.2) 83% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -10.2 (+7.8) 149.6 (+14.4) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -9.9 (+8.1) 152.0 (+12.0) 83% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -8.9 (+9.1) 151.5 (+12.5) 82% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 20, 2026 WRST 85 – 73 IUIN
Jan 4, 2026 WRST 81 – 77 IUIN
Mar 5, 2025 WRST 98 – 85 IUIN
Mar 1, 2025 IUIN 91 – 84 WRST
Jan 28, 2024 WRST 83 – 76 IUIN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WRST IUIN
Overall 15-18 10-22
Conference 8-12 6-14
Home 11-4 6-8
Away 3-12 4-12
Neutral 1-2 0-2
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 76.5 72.4
Avg Pts Against 77.5 79.7
Massey -2.2 (#199) -9.2 (#311)
Bradley-Terry -0.32 (#203) -2.09 (#332)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.27 (#190) -2.44 (#326)
RPI 0.497 (#184) 0.397 (#339)
Shooting & Four Factors WRST IUIN
FG% 47.5% 41.1%
3PT% 37.6% 35.6%
REB / G 35.1 31.8
OREB / G 9.0 10.6
AST / TO 1.17 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.6% 49.7%
TOV% 17.5% 17.1%
ORB% 27.0% 30.0%
FT Rate 19.2% 27.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 55.3%
Opp TOV% 14.2% 16.0%
DRB% 73.6% 67.5%
Opp FT Rate 24.2% 29.4%

Game Analysis

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