Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | WRST -850 IUIN +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +12 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -14.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -11.9 (+0.1) | 156.5 (+1.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -11.9 (+0.1) | 159.9 (-1.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -13.3 (-1.3) | 160.2 (-2.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -11.6 (+0.4) | 159.4 (-1.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 28, 2024 | WRST 83 – 76 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 3-17 |
| Home | 11-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 9-5 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 89.2 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#144) | -10.0 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#144) | -1.96 (#328) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#139) | -2.33 (#323) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#121) | 0.396 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 15.7% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 57.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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