Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +750 WRST -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +7 | 159 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -15.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -13.1 (+6.1) | 152.8 (+6.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -12.5 (+5.5) | 156.9 (+2.1) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -13.4 (+6.4) | 161.1 (-2.1) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -13.1 (+6.1) | 157.6 (+1.4) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | WRST 85 – 73 IUIN |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WRST 81 – 77 IUIN |
| Mar 5, 2025 | WRST 98 – 85 IUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | IUIN 91 – 84 WRST |
| Feb 9, 2025 | WRST 91 – 73 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 13-7 |
| Home | 4-10 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-13 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -17.2 (#361) | 1.5 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.95 (#354) | -0.03 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.73 (#353) | 0.02 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.374 (#355) | 0.511 (#151) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 53.5% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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