Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -440 KC +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KC +7 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -9.5 (-16.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -8.7 (-15.7) | 141.6 (-2.6) | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -8.3 (-15.3) | 143.4 (-4.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -8.2 (-15.2) | 140.2 (-1.2) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -8.2 (-15.2) | 140.5 (-1.5) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | KC 63 – 58 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 1-15 |
| Home | 10-4 | 3-11 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -5.8 (#250) | -11.5 (#329) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.70 (#236) | -3.87 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.98 (#234) | -5.23 (#358) |
| RPI | 0.460 (#253) | 0.364 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 25.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.3% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 55.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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