Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | KC -140 OMA +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +12 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | KC -0.9 (-12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -0.4 (-12.4) | 141.1 (+2.9) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -1.0 (-13.0) | 141.8 (+2.2) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -0.1 (-11.9) | 142.7 (+1.3) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KC -0.2 (-12.2) | 143.1 (+0.9) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | KC 63 – 58 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 13-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 2-12 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#234) | -1.9 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#303) | -0.10 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.46 (#282) | -0.35 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.434 (#302) | 0.501 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.