Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -210 KC +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +9 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -2.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -3.0 (+6.0) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -1.6 (+7.4) | 135.9 (-4.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -2.9 (+6.1) | 137.8 (-6.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -3.0 (+6.0) | 137.1 (-6.1) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | KC 63 – 58 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 4-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#173) | -3.6 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#164) | -1.38 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#180) | -1.43 (#274) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#157) | 0.446 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.4% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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