Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | KC +154 OMA -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +17 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -3.5 (-13.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.6 (-11.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -3.7 (-13.3) | 142.6 (-5.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -4.0 (-13.0) | 144.7 (-7.7) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -4.4 (-12.6) | 144.8 (-7.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -3.9 (-13.1) | 144.2 (-7.2) | 30% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
| Feb 25, 2024 | KC 63 – 58 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-27 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 8-8 |
| Home | 3-11 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-15 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L15 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.8 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -13.2 (#341) | -6.5 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.91 (#355) | -1.37 (#286) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.34 (#348) | -1.65 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#357) | 0.421 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.5% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 63.7% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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