Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +180 UNI -218 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +14 | 110 | Lost |
| Massey | UNI -9.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -9.9 (-4.1) | 128.4 (-18.4) | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -8.7 (-5.3) | 128.7 (-18.7) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -9.8 (-4.2) | 125.6 (-15.6) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -10.3 (-3.7) | 127.1 (-17.1) | 15% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UNI 68 – 59 EVAN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNI 71 – 55 EVAN |
| Jan 15, 2025 | UNI 73 – 56 EVAN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | UNI 70 – 63 EVAN |
| Dec 2, 2023 | EVAN 91 – 89 UNI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 11-9 |
| Home | 5-10 | 12-5 |
| Away | 1-12 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.8 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.3 | 62.5 |
| Massey | -6.1 (#258) | 7.2 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#296) | 1.42 (#76) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#266) | 1.54 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#262) | 0.574 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 6.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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